Nonparametric filtering, estimation and classification using neural jump ODEs

URL:
Publication date:
2025/07/01
Authors:
Jakob Heiss, Florian Krach, Thorsten Schmidt, Félix B. Tambe-Ndonfack
Journal:
Statistics & Risk Modeling
Abstract:

Neural Jump ODEs model the conditional expectation between observations by neural ODEs and jump at arrival of new observations. They have demonstrated effectiveness for fully data-driven online forecasting in settings with irregular and partial observations, operating under weak regularity assumptions. This work extends the framework to input-output systems, enabling direct applications in online filtering and classification. We establish theoretical convergence guarantees for this approach, providing a robust solution to L 2 L^{2} -optimal filtering. Empirical experiments highlight the model’s superior performance over classical parametric methods, particularly in scenarios with complex underlying distributions. These results emphasize the approach’s potential in time-sensitive domains such as finance and health monitoring, where real-time accuracy is crucial.

Keywords: Python

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Marc Schumacher

Institute of Medical Biometry and Statistics,
Faculty of Medicine and Medical Center –
University of Freiburg